Fig. 2

Proportion of correct conclusion obtained with the four methods. Each boxplot describes the distributions across 720 scenarios characterized by different numbers of first-order MAs, data per MA, and different levels of redundancy between first-order MAs (see Methods). Red dashed lines indicate the proportions 0.75 and 0.9. The numbers displayed below the boxplots indicate the proportion of scenarios where the proportion of correct conclusion is lower than 90% and 75%, respectively. The proportion of correct conclusion PCC assesses the ability of the methods to determine the true direction of the effect of the tested intervention relatively to the comparator